Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 23 2025
000 WTNT23 KNHC 232049 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 2100 UTC THU OCT 23 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 75.5W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 75.5W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 75.3W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 75.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.5N 75.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.8N 75.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.1N 76.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.1N 76.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 55NE 40SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 77.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 65SE 40SW 65NW. 34 KT...170NE 190SE 80SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 78.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 70SE 60SW 65NW. 34 KT...170NE 190SE 110SW 130NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 75.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN