Issued at 200 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025
000 WTNT33 KNHC 310543 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 39A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 200 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025 ...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED ON BERMUDA AS MELISSA MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 65.5W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NNW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. After Melissa becomes post-tropical, a brief period of heavy rain and gusty winds is possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight. For more information on impacts in Canada, see the Canadian Hurricane Center website at https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 65.5 West. Melissa is moving toward the northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h). An even faster northeastward motion is expected into Saturday. A gradual turn toward the east-northeast is forecast on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move away from Bermuda this morning and pass south of the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland as a post-tropical cyclone tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Melissa is expected to become a post-tropical low by tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The L.F. Wade International Airport on Bermuda recently reported sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust of 61 mph (98 km/h). An elevated station at the National Museum of Bermuda recently reported a wind gust of 76 mph (122 km/h), with a peak gust of 98 mph (158 km/h) during the past couple of hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions, primarily in gusts, are occurring on Bermuda. Gusty winds are possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight. RAINFALL: For Bermuda, outer bands of Melissa may bring 1 to 2 inches of rain through early this morning. A brief period of heavy rain is possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Melissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds for Bermuda. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions of Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and Bermuda during the next couple of days. These swells are expected to reach the coast of the Northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada today and persist into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
