Issued at 2100 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025
446 WTNT23 KNHC 262054 TCMAT3 HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 2100 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 77.2W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. 4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 77.2W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 76.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 77.7W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N 78.2W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.2N 78.2W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N 77.5W...INLAND OVER JAMAICA MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 65NE 65SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 76.1W...ON THE SE CUBA COAST MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 45SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 74.4W...OVER WATER IN THE SE BAHAMAS MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 45SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 75NE 80SE 55SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 28.0N 69.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 95SE 65SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 37.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 200SE 190SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 77.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN