Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025
000 WTNT25 KNHC 191453 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 72.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 330SE 180SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 72.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 72.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.0N 73.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.1N 73.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.4N 73.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.7N 72.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 270SE 210SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.6N 70.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 300SE 230SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.3N 66.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 250SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 40.3N 58.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...340NE 320SE 250SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 42.8N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 100SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 270SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 72.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH